This study examines the dynamic linkages of Nifty stock index and Nifty index futures contract traded on the home market, National Stock Exchange (NSE) and on the off-shore market, Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX). The study uses daily closing prices of the Nifty index and the Nifty futures contract traded on both the exchanges for the period July 15, 2010 to July 15, 2016. The study finds a causality running from the returns of the spot market to the returns from the Nifty futures market in both the exchanges, NSE and SGX, with the help of Vector Error Correction model and Granger causality test. Variance Decomposition and Impulse Response Analysis also confirm that the spot market is the leading market in price discovery, making it the most efficient amongst others.
|Journal||Journal of Prediction Markets|
|Publisher||THE UNIVERSITY OF BUCKINGHAM PRESS|