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Stochastic modelling of fatigue (and other material's deterioration), as well as of cumulative damage in risk theory, are often based on compound sums of independent random variables, where the number of addends is represented by an independent counting process. We consider here a cumulative model where, instead of a renewal process (as in the Poisson case), a linear birth (or Yule) process is used. This corresponds to the assumption that the frequency of “damage” increments accelerates according to the increasing number of “damages”. We start from the partial differential equation satisfied by its transition density, in the case of exponentially distributed addends, and then we generalize it by introducing a space derivative of convolution type (i.e., defined in terms of the Laplace exponent of a subordinator). Then we are concerned with the solution of integro‐differential equations, under proper initial conditions, which, in a special case, reduce to a fractional one. Correspondingly, we analyze the related cumulative jump processes under a general infinitely divisible distribution of the (positive) jumps. Some special cases (such as the stable, tempered stable, gamma, and Poisson) are presented.

Operation Management and Quantitative Techniques

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Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences

Integro‐differential equations linked to compound birth processes with infinitely divisible addends

In this article, the compound Poisson process of order k (CPPoK) is introduced and its properties are discussed. Further, using mixture of tempered stable subordinators (MTSS) and its right continuous inverse, the two subordinated CPPoK with various distributional properties are studied. It is also shown that the space and tempered space fractional versions of CPPoK and PPoK can be obtained, which generalize the process defined in [Statist. Probab. Lett. 82 (2012), 852–858].

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Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

Subordinated compound poisson processes of order K

In the literature, the Linnik, Mittag-Leffler, Laplace and asymmetric Laplace distributions are the most known examples of geometric stable distributions. The geometric stable distributions are especially useful in the modeling of leptokurtic data with heavy-tailed behavior. They have found many interesting applications in the modeling of several physical phenomena and financial time-series. In this paper, we define the Linnik Lévy process (LLP) through the subordination of symmetric stable Lévy motion with gamma process. We discuss main properties of LLP like probability density function, Lévy measure and asymptotic forms of marginal densities. We also consider the governing fractional-type Fokker–Planck equation. To show practical applications, we simulate the sample paths of the introduced process. Moreover, we give a step-by-step procedure of the parameters estimation and calibrate the parameters of the LLP with the Arconic Inc equity data taken from Yahoo finance. Further, some extensions of the introduced process are also discussed.

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

Linnik Lévy process and some extensions

In this paper, we study the fractional Poisson process (FPP) time-changed by an independent L&eacute;vy subordinator and the inverse of the L&eacute;vy subordinator, which we call TCFPP-I and TCFPP-II, respectively. Various distributional properties of these processes are established. We show that, under certain conditions, the TCFPP-I has the long-range dependence property, and also its law of iterated logarithm is proved. It is shown that the TCFPP-II is a renewal process and its waiting time distribution is identified. The bivariate distributions of the TCFPP-II are derived. Some specific examples for both the processes are discussed. Finally, we present simulations of the sample paths of these processes.

Journal of Theoretical Probability

Fractional Poisson Process Time-Changed by Lévy Subordinator and Its Inverse

In this article, we study the Poisson process of order k (PPoK) time-changed with an independent Lévy subordinator and its inverse, which we call, respectively, as TCPPoK-I and TCPPoK-II, through various distributional properties, long-range dependence and limit theorems for the PPoK and the TCPPoK-I. Further, we study the governing difference-differential equations of the TCPPoK-I for the case inverse Gaussian subordinator. Similarly, we study the distributional properties, asymptotic moments and the governing difference-differential equation of TCPPoK-II. As an application to ruin theory, we give a governing differential equation of ruin probability in insurance ruin using these processes. Finally, we present some simulated sample paths of both the processes.

Stochastic Analysis and Applications

Time-changed Poisson processes of order k

MSC Codes 60G55, 60G51The Poisson process of order i is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the weights and also with the time-changed versions, with Bern?stein subordinator playing the role of time. We focus on the analysis of hitting times of these processes obtaining sometimes explicit distributions. Since all the processes examined display a similar structure with multiple upward jumps sometimes they can skip all states with positive probability even on infinitely long time span.

arXiv

Superposition of time-changed poisson processes and their hitting times

The space-time fractional Poisson process (STFPP), defined by Orsingher and Poilto (2012), is a generalization of the time fractional Poisson process (TFPP) and the space fractional Poisson process (SFPP). We study the fractional generalization of the non-homogeneous Poisson process and call it the non-homogeneous space-time fractional Poisson process (NHSTFPP). We compute their pmf and generating function and investigate the associated differential equation. The limit theorems for the NHSTFPP process are studied. We study the distributional properties, the asymptotic expansion of the correlation function of the non-homogeneous time fractional Poisson process (NHTFPP) and subsequently investigate the long-range dependence (LRD) property of a special NHTFPP. We investigate the limit theorem for the fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process (FNHPP) studied by Leonenko et al. (2014). Finally, we present some simulated sample paths of the NHSTFPP process.

Non-homogeneous space-time fractional Poisson processes

In this paper, we define a fractional negative binomial process (FNBP) by replacing the Poisson process by a fractional Poisson process (FPP) in the gamma subordinated form of the negative binomial process. It is shown that the one-dimensional distributions of the FPP and the FNBP are not infinitely divisible. Also, the space fractional Pólya process (SFPP) is defined by replacing the rate parameter λ by a gamma random variable in the definition of the space fractional Poisson process. The properties of the FNBP and the SFPP and the connections to PDEs governing the density of the FNBP and the SFPP are also investigated.

Probability and Mathematical Statistics

Fractional negative binomial and pólya processes

We discuss the short-range dependence (SRD) property of the increments of the fractional Poisson process, called the fractional Poissonian noise. We also establish that the fractional negative binomial process (FNBP) has the long-range dependence (LRD) property, while the increments of the FNBP have the SRD property. Our definitions of the SRD/LRD properties are similar to those for a stationary process and different from those recently used in Biard and Saussereau (2014). © Applied Probability Trust 2016.